South Fork Complex Update - 8/11/14 ^NH

Incident Overview

Incident Objectives

· Use a deliberate Risk Management process to manage risk to firefighters and the public.

· Where it can be safely done, utilize direct tactics to minimize impacts to private land, property, and values at risk.

· Utilize the knowledge of private landowners, local agency personnel, and Resource Advisors to develop and implement tactics.

· Ensure timely and accurate dissemination of information, regarding fire related activities, is provided to the public, landowners, elected officials, and other stake holders.

· Ensure relationships are maintained or enhanced with local landowners, cooperators, business owners, the general public, and other stake holders.

Basic Information

Current as of	8/10/2014 9:55:27 PM
Incident Type	Wildfire
Cause	Lightning
Date of Origin	Thursday July 31st, 2014 approx. 07:00 PM
Location	20 miles southwest of John Day, Oregon
Incident Commander	Incident Commander, Ed Lewis, Pnw Team 3

Current Situation

Total Personnel	798
Size	62,476 Acres
Percent of Perimeter Contained	30%
Fuels Involved	Timber (grass and understory), some areas of grass and brush.
Significant Events	The fire area experienced a shift in direction of the prevailing winds Sunday. There were short up-slope, up-canyon runs. Observed spotting distance was one eighth of a mile. There was torching and backing in portions of the incident.

Outlook

Planned Actions	Continue to hold containment lines with heavy reliance on aviation resources. Continued direct line construction where terrain and fire behavior allow. Continue to build indirect line and prepare primary and secondary containment lines. Provide point protection as necessary. Emphasis continues on containment efforts on the northwest corner of the fire, south of Dayville.
Projected Incident Activity	12 hours: Continued fire spread to to the north toward Dayville, Oregon. Continued fire spread to the north and northeast toward Aldrich Ridge. The fire is expected to continue moving south and southeast along active areas of the perimeter. Down drafts associated with thunderstorm activity may increase fire behavior throughout affected portions of the incident. . 24 hours: Downdrafts associated with thunderstorm activity may increase fire behavior in areas of the incident. Continued torching, spotting and up-slope runs along active sections of the fire are expected to continue, especially when winds and terrain align. . 48 hours: Continued torching, spotting and up-slope runs along active sections of the fire are expected to continue especially when winds and terrain align.
Remarks	Murderers Creek South Fire 52,437 acres. Buck Fork Fire is 7,583 acres.

Current Weather

Weather Concerns	Expectation of thunderstorm development over the fire area tomorrow (LAL 3). Some wetting rain is possible along with potential for gusty outflow winds. A mild cooling trend is expected by midweek. The expected southerly winds will continue to challenge containment of the northwest corner of the fire.